To Be Early/Late is Right/Wrong
Contrarian investing has always been a fascination of mine. From the first time I read Humphrey Neill's classic book The Art of Contrary Thinking, I've been watching magazine covers, newspaper headlines (above the fold, of course) and anything else that can suggest what the masses are thinking...
Charlie Munger on Economics
I've read Shane Parrish's Farnam Street blog for years, and as a result have developed a real appreciation for Charlie Munger's approach to investing and thinking and life. I'm so glad I finally read Shane's transcript of Munger's Herb Kay Memorial Lecture from 2003. I'd encourage you to take the time to read the entire speech, as he covers so much ground with his signature mix of dry humor and healthy cynicism.
Book Review: Quantitative Momentum
The book Quantitative Momentum by Wes Gray and Jack Vogel describes in detail how to build a momentum model. Backed up with the history of financial analysis, limitations of momentum investing and tons of backtested data. Thumbs up.
The Rebirth of Boring?
Recent upward moves in Telecom and Utilities force me to revisit two relatively boring sectors. There are plenty of more attractive sector charts out there, but the IYZ and XLU are both worth a second look.
What a Bull Market Looks Like
I started my weekly ETF screen a bit early this week to see how things were playing out before the weekend. I had a feeling it might look fairly rosy, but it was a little over top rosy this time...
Charts and Wine on Wednesday
JC Parets, a very capable technician as well as fellow wine aficionado, wrote a great post on All Star Charts comparing sommeliers to technical analysts. Specifically, he discussed the methodical way in which sommeliers evaluate a wine during a tasting to the methodical way that a technical analyst reviews the weight of the evidence...
Confirmation Bias and Mindfulness
Fantastic article from Mindful magazine this morning about combatting confirmation bias. As a reminder, confirmation bias is where you first develop a thesis ("I'm bullish.") and then you look for evidence to support this opinion...
Remember Rule Number Six
Overwhelmed with the markets and life in general? Remember Rule Number Six! A simple message to not take life too seriously.
Rethinking bearish divergences
"Two roads diverged in a wood and I... I followed price... because that's what is most important." -David Keller
So I posted this recently on Twitter
Mindless vs. Mindful Investing
"Be happy in the moment, that's enough. Each moment is all we need, not more." -Mother Theresa
I'm on my way back to Cleveland after speaking at the Bloomberg Buy-side Forum in New York. Yesterday I sat in on a fantastic panel on the active vs. passive debate
Hi I’m Dave! Thanks so much for checking out the blog. Check out our free behavioral investing course and don’t miss an episode of Dave’s daily market recap show!
“Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”