Behavioral, Investing David Keller Behavioral, Investing David Keller

Can't Stop Using Stops

I'm out in Seattle this week to speak at the stockcharts.com ChartCon 2018.  Excited to be a part of a conference that features many speakers that I consider mentors, including Greg Morris, Martin Pring, and Tom McClellan. So far we've heard from Greg Schell, Dr. Alexander Elder, and Bruce Fraser.  What struck me is that all three of them have discussed the importance of using stops.

Read More
Behavioral, Communication, Investing David Keller Behavioral, Communication, Investing David Keller

Beyond Behavioral Biases

It's so easy to reduce Behavioral Finance to a bottomless list of biases.  As with many aspects of the financial industry, we get way too focused on labeling things instead of understanding them. A recent article from Behavioral Scientist pointed out the limitations of defining Behavioral Economics (which I tend to use interchangeably with "Behavioral Finance" because as far as I'm concerned they're the same thing) as a series of fallacies.

Read More
Behavioral, Macro David Keller Behavioral, Macro David Keller

Now Presenting the Bear Case

A respected former colleague of mine absolutely loved to play devil's advocate.  Whatever investment thesis was posed, he would always take the other side of the argument. Over time, I began to understand and respect this approach.  Sometimes his challenge would expose behavioral biases such as confirmation bias or the endowment effect, leading us to reconsider our outlook and positioning.

Read More
Behavioral, Macro David Keller Behavioral, Macro David Keller

Time To Sell In May Yet?

I've been chipping away at articles I've stored in my Pocket and just made it through a series of pieces on the "Sell in May" phenomenon. If you're not familiar, the proclamation "Sell in May and Go Away" speaks to the perceived seasonal trend where the US stock market tends to be weaker in the summer to fall period than the winter to spring period.

Read More
Behavioral, Investing, Dataviz, Aviation David Keller Behavioral, Investing, Dataviz, Aviation David Keller

On Driving in Italy

We've fallen into a sort of daily routine for our Spring Break in Sicily.  Lazy morning at home, load the car up around 10:00, go exploring.  Lunch on the fly and a bonus gelato stop when we need a morale boost.  With very little English spoken, every step of this journey has been an adventure.  However, the most hair-rising and invigorating challenge has been driving in Sicily.

Read More
DK+imagination+mug.jpg

Hi I’m Dave! Thanks so much for checking out the blog. Check out our free behavioral investing course and don’t miss an episode of Dave’s daily market recap show!

Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.
— George Santayana