Behavioral, Macro David Keller Behavioral, Macro David Keller

Now Presenting the Bear Case

A respected former colleague of mine absolutely loved to play devil's advocate.  Whatever investment thesis was posed, he would always take the other side of the argument. Over time, I began to understand and respect this approach.  Sometimes his challenge would expose behavioral biases such as confirmation bias or the endowment effect, leading us to reconsider our outlook and positioning.

Read More
Macro David Keller Macro David Keller

Dealing With Dollar Strength

About five weeks ago, I wrote an article for stockcharts.com regarding the US Dollar breaking out to the upside.  Based on previous resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels, we reviewed upside price objectives for the Bullish Dollar ETF ($UUP).

Read More
Behavioral, Macro David Keller Behavioral, Macro David Keller

Time To Sell In May Yet?

I've been chipping away at articles I've stored in my Pocket and just made it through a series of pieces on the "Sell in May" phenomenon. If you're not familiar, the proclamation "Sell in May and Go Away" speaks to the perceived seasonal trend where the US stock market tends to be weaker in the summer to fall period than the winter to spring period.

Read More
Macro David Keller Macro David Keller

The Return of Value?

Growth stocks have been on an incredible run for the last sixteen months, handily outpacing value names.  A recent breakdown in the growth to value range suggests this trend may be reversing.

Read More
Macro David Keller Macro David Keller

Dialing Up the Dollar

One of the most important lessons I learned as an aspiring technical analyst was to consider multiple time frames in your analysis…

Read More
DK+imagination+mug.jpg

Hi I’m Dave! Thanks so much for checking out the blog. Check out our free behavioral investing course and don’t miss an episode of Dave’s daily market recap show!

Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.
— George Santayana