Charting the Great Rotation of 2023
Growth stocks that pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq higher through July 2023 have now started to rotate lower, with MSFT AAPL and now the QQQ breaking below the 50-day moving average. What sectors are starting to work, and how can we use technical analysis tools to best illustrate this great rotation?
What Is The McClellan Oscillator? | August 2023 Update
The McClellan Oscillator is a market breadth indicator that uses advance-decline data to gauge price momentum. This classic technical analysis technique can help validate what you see on the chart of the S&P 500 or Nasdaq, and this week it generated a key bearish signal! We'll break down the construction of this technical indicator, and talk about downside potential for the SPX given this bearish reversal.
Key Market Breadth Indicator Turns Bearish For QQQ
The Bullish Percent Indexes are market breadth indicators based on point & figure charts. Today we'll share the Bullish Percent Index for the Nasdaq 100, and show how a recent bearish signal is similar to previous pullbacks in 2023 and 2022.
Will FAANGs Hold Their 50-Day Moving Averages?
The dominance of mega cap growth stocks like MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, and GOOGL has been the story of 2023. Are these FAANG stocks due for a pullback, and if so, will they hold support at the 50-day moving average?
Why Use Exponential Moving Averages?
I’ve often found that for me and my process, systematic trading models are more of an input than an output. That is, I’m not a fan of completely outsourcing investment decisions to a model-based approach. However, I do see the value of having a systematic model to use as the foundation for a discretionary process built on technical analysis.
What is Confirmation Bias?
One of the most common behavioral biases, confirmation bias is when you determine your conclusion and then gather evidence to back it up. Mindful investors gather evidence first and then make decisions based on the weight of that evidence.
The Chart to Watch For Market Tops
The S&P 500 has been making higher highs through the month of April. I was taught that it's best to develop an emergency plan when things are going well! Here are five key indicators to track the resilient uptrend in stocks, and prepare for the eventual downturn.
Peloton Threatens Head and Shoulders Top
The term "head and shoulders top" is often thrown around when a stock starts to show signs of distribution. As the work-from-home stocks have struggled recently, charts like Peloton Interactive (PTON) have transitioned from accumulation to distribution phase causing investors to question their long-term prospects.
Improving Relative Strength for Homebuilders
Relative strength is one of the most important parts of my technical toolkit. Basically, the idea is to lean into stocks that are working and lean away from stocks that are not working.
Bearish Trigger for Financials
Here we’ll review how a bearish momentum divergence signals a potential trend exhaustion, and how to validate and confirm these signals using traditional support and resistance levels.
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“Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”